Friday May 13, 2022

Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger kneeling on the ice

May 11, 2022; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger (29) looks on as Calgary Flames Ice crew making repairs to the glass during the second period against the Calgary Flames in game five of the first round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames look to close out the Dallas Stars in Game 6 on Friday, May 13th
  • There have only been 18 total goals scored in the first five games of this series
  • Read below for Game 6 Flames vs Stars odds, picks and betting prediction

No other series in this year’s first round has resembled typical NHL playoff hockey more than the Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames encounter. Physical, tight checking, low scoring and outstanding goaltending have defined the first five games of this matchup.

Game 6 between the Flames and Stars goes Friday, May 13th with the faceoff scheduled for 9:30 pm ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Flames are strong -175 road favorites to end this best-of-7 in game 6. TNT will have the broadcast of this crucial clash.

Let’s sneak a peak at the Flames vs Stars odds for game 6 and give your our best NHL bet.

Flames vs Stars Odds Game 6

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Calgary Flames -1.5 (+160) O 5.5 (+115) -175
Dallas Stars +1.5 (-195) U 5.5 (-139) +145
Betway MENA Sports $50 SOB banners

Odds as of May 12th at Barstool Sportsbook.

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Aa a -175 favorite on the moneyline, the Flames have an implied win probability of 63.64% to win game 6 against the Stars. Dallas’ implied win probability is 40.82% as +145 underdogs.

Flames Great NHL Pick on Road This Season

Not only are the Flames riding the momentum of having turned this series around with back-to-back victories, they also have the confidence of knowing they can deliver away from home. Calgary had the best road record in the Western Conference this year at 25-12-4. They’re 1-1 so far in Dallas in this series.

Needing just one win to move on to the 2nd round in the NHL playoff bracket, the Flames strongly remain in 2nd spot in the Western Conference odds behind an Avalanche team that swept their first round series against the Predators.

A key to their victory in game 5 was the breakout play from the 2nd line as Mikael Backlund and Andrew Mangiapane scored the game tying and game winning goals less than four minutes apart in the 3rd period.

For Backlund, finding the net for the 2nd game in a row was particularly important. He had a 20-game goalless drought prior to sealing game 4 with an empty netter.

Stars Continue to Go Under Betting Goals Total

Jake Oettinger has been one of the biggest storylines of the first round of the playoffs. He has a ridiculous .956 save percentage through the first five games of this series. The Stars probably would’ve been given better 2022 Stanley Cup odds at the outset of the playoffs if prognosticators had any idea he would be this good.

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He’s also the main reason games in this series continue to be so low scoring. Only one game of this series has gone under the total goals line so far. The Stars are scoring just 1.6 goals per game so far in the postseason, which is the worst output of any team that made the playoffs.

Oettinger would welcome more production from his offense, but they’re also trying to beat a top contender in the Vezina Trophy odds at the other end in Swedish netminder Jacob Markstrom.

With just 18 goals combined through the first five games of this series, the Flames and Stars are averaging just 3.6 goals per contest. That’s an astonishing 3.2 goals below the 2022 NHL playoff average of 6.8 per game entering Thursday’s action.

Flames vs Stars Series Stats

Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars
3-2 Series Record 2-3
10 (2/game) Goals For/GP 8 (1.6/game)
8 (1.6/game) Goals Against/GP 10 (2/game)
10.5% Power Play 10%
90% Penalty Kill 89.5%

Flames vs Stars Game 6 Pick & Prediction

Oddsmakers have made the Flames pretty comfortable favorites to wrap this series up. This series has been a battle since the beginning and it looks like it will be that way right to the end. Other than game 4, every contest in this series has been decided by one goal or one goal with an added empty netter. So what’s the best NHL pick?

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The best bet in the Flames vs Stars Friday NHL odds is to take the under. All the trends point in that direction and the only game that went over in this series hit because of an empty net marker.

On top of all the stats already mentioned, the under is 5-1-1 in the Stars last seven playoff games as an underdog, while the under is 6-1 in the Flames last seven games overall. Anything over 5.5 total goals between these two teams would be an aberration so go with the under.

Pick: Over 5.5 (+115)

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